The assassination of the political leader of Hamas has plunged the Middle East into fresh crisis and dented already slim hopes of an end to the war between Israel and the militant group that rules Gaza anytime soon. <\/p>\n
Hamas on Wednesday said Israel killed its political leader, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran, Iran, hours after Israel claimed a strike on the Lebanese capital Beirut that killed a senior Hezbollah commander who it blamed for a deadly attack in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights over the weekend. Israel has neither confirmed nor denied responsibility for Haniyeh\u2019s killing. <\/p>\n
Experts say the assassinations throw an ominous shadow on efforts to procure a ceasefire-hostage deal in Gaza, as well as hopes of de-escalation between Israel and its Iran-backed rivals in the region. <\/p>\n
Here\u2019s what the killing of the Hamas and Hezbollah leaders means for the Gaza war and the region. <\/p>\n
Months of negotiations on a deal to end the war in Gaza and free the remaining Israeli hostages held by Hamas had already hit repeated roadblocks before Haniyeh, a key player in the talks, was killed on Tuesday night. <\/p>\n
As recently as early July, Haniyeh was in touch with mediators in Qatar and Egypt to discuss ideas on ending the war, sparking some hope that the two sides could be on the brink of a framework agreement. <\/p>\n
All of that could now be thrown up in the air by his death. <\/p>\n
\u201cHe was someone who saw the value of a deal and was instrumental to getting certain breakthroughs in the talks,\u201d the source said, adding that \u201cat this stage, it\u2019s unclear what the effect will be on ceasefire talks.\u201d <\/p>\n
Qatar\u2019s Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, a key mediator in the Israel-Hamas talks, wrote on X: \u201cPolitical assassinations and continued targeting of civilians in Gaza while talks continue leads us to ask, how can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side?\u201d <\/p>\n
Qatar, which has helped release some of the Israeli hostages, sheltered the Hamas leader before his death, and the group\u2019s political bureau has been based in its capital Doha since 2012. <\/p>\n
Questions will also be asked about the calculations of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who many observers \u2013 including families of the hostages \u2013 have accused of deliberately stalling on negotiations and dragging out the war to safeguard his own political survival. <\/p>\n
\u201cNetanyahu has systematically sabotaged ceasefire talks because ending the war will likely end his political career,\u201d said Trita Parsi of the Quincy Institute, a US-based foreign policy think tank, in a post on X. \u201cThe assassination buys Netanyahu several weeks, if not months, in which there will be no serious expectation of a ceasefire deal.\u201d <\/p>\n
Gershon Baskin, a former Israeli hostage negotiator who once acted as a channel to Hamas, noted that negotiations were already deadlocked even before the assassination of Haniyeh. <\/p>\n
Now, Baskin said, it is unclear how much longer Qatari and Egyptian mediators will allow themselves \u201cto be played by Israel and Hamas,\u201d adding that it may be time for the mediators to put a deal on the table and ask parties to \u201ctake it or leave it.\u201d <\/p>\n
A faltered negotiation process also extends the risk to the lives of the remaining hostages in Gaza. <\/p>\n
The Hostages Families Forum said Wednesday that \u201ctrue achievement\u201d in the war can only be realized with the release of all hostages still in captivity, saying they \u201cimplore the Israeli government and global leaders to decisively advance negotiations.\u201d <\/p>\n
\u201cTime is of the essence,\u201d the Forum said in a statement. \u201cThis is the time for a deal.\u201d <\/p>\n
There are 111 hostages still in Gaza, including 39 believed to be dead, according to data from Netanyahu\u2019s office. Their families have repeatedly slammed Netanyahu for failing to secure their release. <\/p>\n
Without a ceasefire, Gaza\u2019s besieged population will find no respite from the war, which has so far killed more than 39,000 people, according to the health ministry in the strip. Swathes of the territory have been flattened, and a humanitarian crisis is rapidly spiraling out of control. <\/p>\n
The war, which Israel launched in response to Hamas\u2019 October 7 attacks that killed 1,200 people, has also displaced almost all of Gaza\u2019s population of 2 million, with 86% of the territory now under Israeli evacuation orders. <\/p>\n
Qatar\u2019s foreign ministry on Wednesday said Haniyeh\u2019s killing \u201cwould lead to the region sliding into a cycle of chaos and undermine the chances of peace.\u201d <\/p>\n
Egypt, a key mediator in the conflict but whose ties with Israel have been strained since October 7, had condemned what it called \u201cIsrael\u2019s dangerous policy of escalation\u201d and warned against \u201cthe nonsense policy of assassination and violation of the sovereignty of states.\u201d <\/p>\n
In a statement, Egypt said the two killings risk \u201cigniting\u201d confrontation in the region. <\/p>\n
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Wednesday said the United States was \u201cnot aware of or involved in\u201d Haniyeh\u2019s killing and that the Biden administration had been working \u201cfrom day one\u201d for a ceasefire to prevent the conflict from spreading to other regions. <\/p>\n
HA Hellyer, scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies in London, said that unless there is an active effort to cool tensions in the region, \u201cescalation will happen by, unfortunately, default.\u201d <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The assassination of the political leader of Hamas has plunged the Middle East into fresh…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6092","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6092\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailywashingtoninsider.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}